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50 Years to Extinction: What Happens When the Creepy Crawlers Disappear

  • 6 hours ago
  • 9 min read

Picture this: It's a perfect summer day. You're enjoying a picnic in the park. No flies buzzing around your sandwich. No gnats swarming your face. No spiders hiding in the corners of your house. No worms squirming on the sidewalk after rain.


Sounds like paradise, right?

Wrong. It sounds like the beginning of the end.


If those "pesky" creatures disappeared tomorrow, we'd have about 50 years before most life on Earth, including humans, went extinct. The survivors would face a world of rotting corpses, explosive insect plagues, agricultural collapse, and starvation on an unimaginable scale.


This is the story of why the creatures you swat away, stomp on, and complain about are actually holding civilization together. It's about flies that prevent disease epidemics, spiders that save crops, gnats that make chocolate possible, and worms that create the soil that feeds us.


Welcome to the world without the little things that run it. You won't like it.


The Fly Problem: When Your Garbage Collector Quits

Let's start with flies. Yes, those annoying insects that land on your food and buzz around your head. There are over 120,000 species of flies worldwide, and they visit 72% of global food crops.


What Flies Actually Do

Pollination powerhouses: Flies are the second most important pollinators on Earth after bees. They pollinate mangoes, avocados, onions, carrots, and crucially, cocoa trees. That's right: without flies, there'd be no chocolate. Tiny biting midges (a type of fly) are the only insects small enough to pollinate cocoa flowers. These 1-3 millimeter insects are responsible for a $98 billion per year industry.

Nature's cleanup crew: Fly larvae (maggots) are among the most efficient decomposers on the planet. They break down dead animals, feces, and rotting plant matter, recycling nutrients back into the soil. Without them, dead things would just pile up.

Pest control: Many fly species are parasitic, laying eggs in crop-eating pests like caterpillars. When the fly larvae hatch, they eat the pests from the inside out. This natural pest control reduces the need for chemical pesticides.

Food for others: Flies and their larvae feed countless birds, bats, fish, frogs, spiders, and other animals. Remove flies, and you remove the food source for a massive chunk of the animal kingdom.


What Happens When Flies Disappear

Week 1: Dead animals stop decomposing properly. Roadkill piles up. Agricultural waste accumulates. The smell becomes overwhelming.

Month 1: Without fly pollination, crops start failing. Mango orchards produce no fruit. Onions don't set seed. Cocoa production collapses.

Month 3: The global chocolate industry collapses, costing nearly $100 billion. But that's the least of your problems. Agricultural pests that flies normally control begin exploding in number, destroying crops.

Year 1: Birds, bats, and fish that depend on flies starve. Food chains collapse from the bottom up. Ecosystems worldwide destabilize.

Year 5: With decomposition severely slowed and pollination crippled, soil fertility plummets and crop yields drop catastrophically. Food shortages lead to starvation.


Norman Platnick from the American Museum of Natural History sums it up: "If spiders disappeared, we would face famine." But flies disappearing would be just as bad. The world would literally drown in its own waste while simultaneously starving.


The Spider Solution: Your Free Pest Control Service

There are roughly 50,000 known spider species on Earth. Most people are terrified of them. But spiders are keeping you alive.


What Spiders Actually Do

Massive pest control: Spiders consume between 400 and 800 million tons of insects every year. That's more than birds and bats combined. Every spider in your house is eating up to 2,000 insects per year that would otherwise be eating your food, spreading disease, or annoying you.

Natural pesticide: Spiders specifically target agricultural pests like aphids, caterpillars, and beetles that destroy crops. They provide free, chemical-free pest control worth billions of dollars annually.

Ecosystem balance: As "mid-level predators," spiders regulate insect populations throughout ecosystems. They're keystone species, meaning they affect many other species despite their size.

Food for birds and lizards: Many bird species, especially those that feed their chicks, depend heavily on spiders as a protein-rich food source.


What Happens When Spiders Disappear

Week 1: Insect populations begin rising noticeably. Mosquitoes, flies, and other pests become more numerous.

Month 1: Without spider predation, insects breed unchecked. Mosquito populations explode, bringing diseases like malaria, Zika, and dengue fever. Insect-borne diseases begin spreading rapidly.

Month 3: Agricultural pests swarm fields. Aphids, caterpillars, and beetles consume crops at unprecedented rates. Farmers resort to massive pesticide spraying, but it's not enough.

Year 1: Birds and other animals that eat spiders face starvation. Insect populations reach plague levels. "Without spiders, all of our crops would be consumed by those pests," warns Norman Platnick.

Year 3: Forests are stripped bare by unchecked insect populations. Grasslands are consumed. Wetlands are overrun. The cascading effects move up the food chain.

Year 5: With crops devastated by pests and forests dying, global food systems collapse. Widespread famine follows. Insect-borne diseases rage out of control.

Spiders are basically working for free as Earth's pest control system. Fire them, and you'll pay for it with your life.


The Gnat Question: Tiny Pollinators, Massive Impact

Gnats is a catch-all term for various small flying insects, including midges, black flies, and fungus gnats. They're annoying as hell. They're also essential.


What Gnats Actually Do

Specialized pollination: Many gnats pollinate plants that other insects can't reach. Biting midges are the exclusive pollinators of cocoa trees. Without these 1-3mm insects, chocolate wouldn't exist.

High-altitude heroes: In alpine and Arctic environments where bees struggle, gnats and other small flies are often the primary pollinators.

Food web foundation: Gnats, particularly their aquatic larvae, are crucial food for fish, especially young fish. Remove gnats, and you remove a major food source for freshwater ecosystems.

Decomposers: Fungus gnat larvae help break down organic matter in soil, contributing to nutrient cycling.


What Happens When Gnats Disappear

The effects would overlap significantly with fly disappearance:

  • Chocolate production ends

  • Alpine and Arctic plants fail to reproduce

  • Freshwater fish populations crash

  • Soil decomposition slows

  • Ecosystems at high elevations and latitudes collapse

It might not seem as dramatic as losing flies or spiders, but gnats play specialized roles that can't easily be replaced.


The Worm Catastrophe: When the Soil Dies

Earthworms have been called "ecosystem engineers." Charles Darwin wrote an entire book about them, stating: "It may be doubted whether there are many other animals which have played so important a part in the history of the world, as have these lowly, organized creatures."

What Earthworms Actually Do

Soil creation: Earthworms process 2-20 tons of organic matter per hectare per year, turning dead plant material and animal waste into rich, fertile soil. What goes in comes out better. Their castings (poop) are packed with nutrients.

Nutrient cycling: Earthworms increase nitrogen availability in soil by up to five times. They take nutrients deeper into soil, bringing them into contact with plant roots.

Soil structure: Earthworm burrows create channels for water infiltration, drainage, and root growth. They aerate soil, preventing compaction.

Productivity boost: Studies show that introducing earthworms to farmland increases agricultural productivity by 25-30%. That's equivalent to adding 2.5 additional livestock per hectare on pastureland.

Water regulation: Earthworm burrows help water drain properly, preventing waterlogging while also helping soil retain moisture during dry periods.


What Happens When Earthworms Disappear

We actually have natural experiments showing this. Northern North America had no earthworms for 10,000 years after glaciers scraped them away. When Europeans reintroduced earthworms, the difference was dramatic.

Month 1: Soil structure begins deteriorating. Water drainage decreases. Soil compaction increases.

Year 1: Dead plant material accumulates on the soil surface instead of being incorporated. Nutrient cycling slows dramatically. Soil fertility begins declining.

Year 2: Crop yields drop significantly. In experiments comparing soil with and without earthworms, productivity differs by 20-30%. Farmers see yields collapse.

Year 5: Without earthworms recycling organic matter, soil becomes depleted, hard-packed, and less able to retain water. Plant growth suffers dramatically.

Year 10: Farmland productivity has crashed. Forests struggle to regenerate. Grasslands decline. Soil erosion accelerates because earthworm burrows no longer hold soil structure together.

Earthworms are literally creating the soil that grows the food that keeps you alive. No worms, no soil. No soil, no food.


The Domino Effect: How It All Collapses

Here's the thing: these creatures don't exist in isolation. They're interconnected. Losing one group makes losing others more likely, creating cascading failures.

The decomposition disaster: Without flies and worms, dead organic matter accumulates. Nutrients aren't recycled. Soil fertility plummets. Plants struggle to grow.

The pollination collapse: Without flies and gnats, 72% of crops lose significant pollinators. Food production drops. Prices skyrocket. Hunger spreads.

The pest explosion: Without spiders, insect pests destroy whatever crops the pollination collapse didn't already ruin. Farmers spray pesticides desperately, but it's not enough.

The food chain break: Birds, bats, fish, frogs, and countless other animals lose major food sources. They starve. Predators that eat them starve. The collapse moves up the food chain.

The disease spread: Without spiders controlling mosquito populations, insect-borne diseases rage out of control. Malaria, dengue, Zika, and other diseases kill millions.

The soil death: Without earthworms, soil structure collapses. Water doesn't drain. Roots can't penetrate. Erosion accelerates. The foundation of terrestrial life crumbles.


Put it all together, and you get what scientists call an "ecological collapse." The system doesn't just wobble and recover. It falls apart.


The Timeline of Human Extinction

Professor Goggy Davidowitz from the University of Arizona puts it bluntly: "If insects were to disappear, the world would fall apart. There's no two ways about it."


Here's how it would likely unfold:

Years 1-2: Initial shock. Immediate food shortages due to pollination failure and decomposition slowdown. Insect pest explosions destroy crops. Chocolate and many fruits/vegetables become unavailable.

Years 3-5: Cascading food chain collapses. Birds and bats die off. Fish populations crash. Soil fertility declines dramatically. Agricultural yields drop 50% or more.

Years 5-10: Mass starvation begins. With pollination crippled, pest control gone, and soil dying, global agriculture produces a fraction of what it once did. Billions face hunger.

Years 10-20: Forests die as decomposition stops and pests consume them. Grasslands turn to hardpan as soil structure collapses. Most remaining animals die from starvation or habitat loss.

Years 20-50: The last humans survive in isolated pockets, probably in coastal areas eating fish and seaweed (if those ecosystems haven't also collapsed). But even these last survivors face a world without functioning ecosystems.

Year 50+: Most complex life on Earth is extinct. Bacteria and fungi remain, but the world as we know it is gone.

That's the estimate: 50 years from the disappearance of "pesky" creatures to the end of human civilization and most complex life.


But Would Other Species Fill the Gap?

You might think, "Other species would evolve to fill those roles!" And you'd be partially right. Evolution is powerful. But it's also slow. Evolution takes thousands or millions of years to produce new species with new adaptations. We'd have maybe 50 years before civilization collapsed. The timescales don't match.


Yes, eventually (on a geological timescale), bacteria and fungi would become more efficient decomposers. Other predators might evolve to control insects. But "eventually" might mean 10,000 or 100,000 years. Long after humans are gone.


In the short term (the only term that matters for human survival), there's no cavalry coming. Those flies, spiders, gnats, and worms aren't replaceable on any timescale that matters to you.


The Bottom Line

Those "pesky" creatures you complain about are:


Flies: Pollinating 72% of crops, decomposing dead things, controlling pests, feeding billions of animals. Without them: decomposition crisis, pollination failure, pest explosions, food chain collapse.

Spiders: Consuming 400-800 million tons of insects per year, providing free pest control, regulating ecosystems. Without them: insect plagues, crop destruction, disease spread, famine.

Gnats: Pollinating specialized crops (especially chocolate), feeding fish, operating in extreme environments. Without them: crop losses, freshwater ecosystem collapse.

Earthworms: Creating soil, cycling nutrients, boosting agricultural productivity 25-30%, maintaining soil structure. Without them: soil death, agricultural collapse, erosion, food shortage.


Together, these organisms form the invisible infrastructure of life on Earth. They pollinate our crops, clean up our waste, control our pests, create our soil, and feed our wildlife. Remove them, and the system doesn't adapt. It collapses. Food production ends. Ecosystems die. Animals starve. Within 50 years, most complex life (including humans) goes extinct.


The next time a fly lands on your sandwich, a spider scurries across your floor, a gnat buzzes around your face, or you see a worm on the sidewalk, remember: that creature is part of the system keeping you alive.


They might be pesky. But they're also irreplaceable. Without them, you don't exist. It's that simple.


So maybe, just maybe, we should be a little more appreciative of Earth's "lowly creatures." Because Darwin was right: they've played a more important part in the history of the world than most people realize.


And if they disappeared? The history of the world would be very, very short.


Sources

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Blouin, M., et al. (2013). A review of earthworm impact on soil function and ecosystem services. European Journal of Soil Science.

Bridgewater Pest Control. (2025). Are Spiders Important to the Ecosystem? Retrieved from https://www.trulynolen.ca/bridgewater-are-spiders-important-ecosystem/

Creature Courage. (2024). Spiders Are Just As Important To Keeping Us Alive As Bees. Retrieved from https://creaturecourage.com/spiders-are-just-as-important-to-keeping-us-alive-as-bees/

Environmental Literacy Council. (2025). What would happen if spiders went extinct? Retrieved from https://enviroliteracy.org/what-would-happen-if-spiders-went-extinct/

Frontiers for Young Minds. How Introduced Earthworms Alter Ecosystems. Retrieved from https://kids.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frym.2020.534345

LTER. (2023). Tiny But Mighty: How Flies Shape Agroecosystems. Retrieved from https://lternet.edu/stories/tiny-but-mighty-how-flies-shape-agroecosystems/

MDPI. (2022). Earthworms' Effect on Microbial Population and Soil Fertility. Retrieved from https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/13/7803

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Purdue University Extension. Earthworms and Crop Management. Retrieved from https://www.extension.purdue.edu/extmedia/ay/ay-279.html

Renovables Verdes. (2024). Role of flies in ecosystems and their importance. Retrieved from https://en.renovablesverdes.com/fly-function-in-ecosystems/

Sciencing. (2025). What Would Happen If Flies Went Extinct? Retrieved from https://www.sciencing.com/1800327/what-would-happen-if-flies-went-extinct/

Science Learn. Earthworms' role in the ecosystem. Retrieved from https://www.sciencelearn.org.nz/resources/9-earthworms-role-in-the-ecosystem

Smithsonian Magazine. (2021). How Much Do Flies Help With Pollination? Retrieved from https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/how-much-do-flies-help-pollination-180977177/

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